Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, July 7, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone Beryl…according to the NHC advisory number 38A is located about 95 miles east-northeast of Corpus Christi, Texas

Tropical Cyclone Beryl

BERYL STRENGTHENING AS THE CENTER APPROACHES THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST…CONDITIONS DETERIORATING WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED

Beryl is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected this morning. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to make landfall on the middle Texas coast during the next several hours. Beryl is forecast to turn northeastward and move farther inland over eastern Texas and Arkansas late Monday and Tuesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and coastal Doppler radar data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected before the center reaches the Texas coast. Significant weakening is expected after landfall.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. A WeatherFlow station at Matagorda, Texas, recently reported sustained winds of 48 mph (77 km/h) and a wind gust of 69 mph (111 km/h).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning during the next several hours. Tropical storm conditions are currently spreading across the warning area.

Tropical storm conditions will spread across the tropical storm warning area in south Texas during the next several hours.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area along the upper Texas coast during the next several hours.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Port O’Connor, TX to San Luis Pass, TX…4-7 ft
Matagorda Bay…4-7 ft
San Luis Pass, TX to High Island, TX…4-6 ft
Galveston Bay…4-6 ft
Mesquite Bay, TX to Port O’Connor, TX…3-5 ft
High Island, TX to Sabine Pass, TX…3-5 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with localized amounts of 15 inches is expected across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas through Monday night. Considerable flash and urban flooding as well as minor to isolated major river flooding is expected.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes may occur tonight along the middle and upper Texas Coast, and on Monday across parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas.

SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to affect eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. during the next dayor two. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.