Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, July 4, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone Beryl…according to the NHC advisory number 26A is located about 90 miles east-southeast of Tulum, Mexico

Tropical Cyclone Beryl

CONDITIONS TO SOON DETERIORATE FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND DAMAGING WAVES EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY

Beryl is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next day or so, with the center expected to make landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula later this morning. Beryl is expected to emerge over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico tonight and move northwestward toward northeastern Mexico and southern Texas by the end of the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Beryl is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected before landfall. Rapid weakening is expected while Beryl crosses the Yucatan Peninsula, but slow re-intensification is expected when Beryl moves over the Gulf of Mexico.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). NOAA buoy 42056 recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) with a gust to 51 mph (83 km/h).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to subside over portions of the Cayman Islands during the next few hours, with tropical storm conditions subsiding this afternoon.

Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area on
the Yucatan Peninsula tonight or early Friday. Winds are expected
to first reach tropical storm strength later today, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along
the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula as early as tonight.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning
area of the Yucatan Peninsula late today.

Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch
area along portions of the coast of Belize by tonight or early Friday.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the immediate coast of the Cayman Islands.

Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula within the hurricane warning area and by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in the tropical storm warning area.

Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL: Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches over the Cayman Islands today. Over the Yucatan Peninsula, Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches, with localized amounts of 10 inches, later today into Friday. Scattered instances of flash flooding are anticipated.

SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are currently impacting portions of the coast of Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and the Yucatan Peninsula. The swells are expected to reach eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. by late Friday. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.