Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Sunday, August 20, 2023, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report…for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 06L (Gert)…is located about 485 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands

Tropical Cyclone 07L (Emily)…is located about 1105 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands

Tropical Cyclone 09L (Franklin)…is located about 250 miles south-southeast of Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic

Tropical Cyclone 06L (Gert)

DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM GERT..STILL EXPECTED TO BE SHORT-LIVED

According to the NHC Advisory number 7…

Gert is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected until the system dissipates in about 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gert is expected to become a remnant low later today and dissipate on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.

Tropical Cyclone 07L (Emily)

EMILY WEAKENS SLIGHTLY

According to the NHC Advisory number 3…

Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and a west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next couple of days. A turn to the north is forecast by the middle of the week.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Emily could become a post-tropical cyclone in about 36 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.

Tropical Cyclone 09L (Franklin)

FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO CAUSE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO

According to the NHC Advisory number 2A…

Franklin is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward track is expected to continue today. A sharp turn to the north is expected tonight, and a northward motion is expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is forecast to reach the southern coast of Hispaniola late Tuesday or Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.

>>> Western Gulf of Mexico…

Invest 91L

Showers and thunderstorms have increased this evening, and are becoming better organized in association with a trough of low pressure located in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Environmental conditions appear favorable for development of this system as it moves westward at about 15 to 20 mph across the central Gulf of Mexico.

A tropical depression or storm is likely to form as it approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by Tuesday. Interests in the western Gulf of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Tropical storm watches or warnings may be necessary on Monday for portions of the southern Texas and northern Mexico coastlines.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent

>>> Eastern Tropical Atlantic…

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while it moves west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent