Current Snapshot

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Thursday, September 19, 2024, Tropical Cyclone Activity Report for the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

There are no active tropical Cyclones

>>> Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):

Recent satellite wind data shows that an area of low pressure has formed in association with the remnants of Gordon. However, the
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is poorly organized. Some additional development of this system is possible during the next day or two while it moves northward or north-northeastward. After that time, conditions are expected to become less conducive for development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent

>>> Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic:

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 750 miles southeast of Bermuda has changed little in organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive, but some development of this system is possible while it meanders over the open waters of the central or western Subtropical Atlantic though early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent

>>> Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, gradual development of this
system is possible, and a tropical depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern Gulf of Mexico through the middle part of next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent